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Paper title: MID TERM FLOAD FORECASTING USING ANALOG NEURAL NETWORKS
Author(s): MIHAI OCTAVIAN POPESCU, CLAUDIA LAURENŢA POPESCU, PETRUŢA MIHAI,
Abstract: Electrical energy consumption forecasting is very often requested by stakeholders
from the domain in order to elaborate a good strategy for the future. Mathematical
models are used in various forms; the accepted idea is that the investigated system
repeats its behavior. The paper presents such a prognosis made using artificial
intelligence technique in combined with time-series (Box-Jenkins) analysis. The paper
offers some recommendations for the training set used for teaching the artificial neural
networks (ANN), and also approaches an ANN learning method ensuring quick load
dynamics learning. Based on these aspects, the created software can analyze several
load evolution scenarios and can establish a correct trend for the electric load
evolution. Selection between different types of load forecasting are discussed in this
paper.
Keywords: Mid term monthly load forecast, Artificial neural network. Year: 2009 | Tome: 54 | Issue: 2 | Pp.: 147-156
Full text : PDF (194 KB) |
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